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Posts by "boli mekura"

234 Posts Total by "boli mekura":
5 Posts by member
Boli Mekura
(Guam)
229 Posts by Anonymous "boli mekura":
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 20:19
Under 666 on my opinion would be a very difficult task because we are talking nominal levels here.
I guess if we are talking in real terms, then yes, SPX will fall back beow the low of 2009. But in nominal levels this low will not be 666. IMO
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 20:16
And clearly last week 1320-21 level on ES tried to put a lid on the market for several days and then finally gave up.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 20:15
Dave, yes this is another b/d level. But I was thinking 1320 because this where (after a failed test back up), the waterfall decline started.
Now my next objective is 1348 for ES.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 19:57
@Qingyu
I guess Thursday or Friday of this week will be the day.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 17:19
@Gunjack

Further to WTI-Brent spread check this out: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-14/wti-dead-as-a-benchmark-amid-bottlenecks-raymond-james-says.html

It is no secret that oil at Cushing is through the roof. So no suprise that WTI price is depressed relative to Brent, which also prices current geopolitical risks.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 16:42
Thanks.
And to make it clear regarding this EW sym, you mean the 261.8% of the corrective move which ended at 4.496?
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 16:31
So Dave, what is your EWA saying for NG for the ST to Mid Term?
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 16:14
@catnip
correction:
Trading NG based only on fundamentals is NOT worth it. You have to combine it with sentiment extremes and trade against the majority at risk and riding the squeeze out.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 16:13
@Gunjack
No. I do not dare to touch that. Too risky. Because it is too obvious play and I do not like to play with the herd. I am a contrarian by nature.

But wait. I read a piece on this spread a while ago. Here it is http://www.zerohedge.com/article/it-time-collapse-wti-crude-spread

@catnip
Trading NG based only on fundamentals is now worth it. You have to combine it with sentiment extremes and trade against the majority at risk and riding the squeeze out.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 16:02
Gang, to continue with the ratios. Also watch gold/silver ratio. Silver is again breaking out while gold is lagging and the gold/silver ratio is again at extreme. I guess silver is bid more because of the huge depletion of Comex stocks and the potential for someone to corner the silver market as was done by the Hunt brothers in 1979. But hey you think that if Silver skyrockets to 50 and gold will not be at at least 1500? Think twice. GL.